Somewhere in the Hamptons a high-roller is cursing his cleaning lady and shaking his fists at the lawn guys. The American poor, who are usually tactful enough to remain invisible to the multi-millionaire class, suddenly leaped onto the scene and started smashing the global financial system. Incredibly enough, this may be the first case in history in which the downtrodden manage to bring down an unfair economic system without going to the trouble of a revolution.
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It’s time for an update on the real estate bubble, which I have been watching since 2003. About a year ago, I laid out a timeline for the real estate boom. Knowing real estate happens in 16-year cycles, I juxtaposed the last boom/bust cycle in the early 90’s onto this cycle. Here’s what I came up with:
1990 (2007): Prices take a serious plunge. One article claims that housing booms are a bad thing and we should hope prices stay low. Increasing mortgage rates are blamed for the bust. The word “recession” is mentioned. Gloom and doom.
That’s next year. How many times do you think you will hear the words “looming recession” next year? More than you want to, that’s for sure…
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Filed under Housing Market, Mortgage News, Economy, Real Estate, Secondary Mortgage Market, Fannie Mae, Market Forecast, Mortgage Blog, Housing Crash, subprime meltdown, Lending guidelines by Godfather
WASHINGTON (AP) — The Federal Reserve, declaring that increased economic uncertainty poses risks for U.S. business growth, announced Friday that it has approved a half-percentage point cut in its discount rate on loans to banks.
The action was the most dramatic effort yet by the central bank to restore calm to global financial markets which have been roiled in the past week by a widening credit crisis.The decision means that the discount rate, the interest rate that the Fed charges to make direct loans to banks will be lowered to 5.75 percent, down from 6.25 percent.
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Last week the Dow Jones industrial average fell 4.2%, the steepest drop since March 2003. Financial shares took a beating on growing evidence that problems in the sub-prime mortgage market are spreading, making financing the corporate buy-outs that drove the market’s rally more difficult.
Many financial market participants are of the view that there is a definite deterioration in credit conditions, which means less liquidity for private equity, stock buy-backs, and business expansion. Fed officials, however, have downplayed this claim.
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