RodgerRafter

Sub-prime mortgage lender Accredited Home Lenders issued an earnings warning yesterday morning, citing three main reasons for their disappointment:

"Origination volume and loan submissions have not increased as much as the company anticipated and continue to be adversely affected by a combination of pricing competition and product contraction that has been prevalent in the market throughout 2006.

Whole loan premiums and securitization returns are under more pressure than previously anticipated, caused a decrease in whole loan investor appetite for certain products, as well as changes in credit standards and equity requirements promulgated by the various rating agencies.
-Delinquency from production periods in 2005 and 2006 has risen above previous expectations, which requires the company to further bolster its reserves to prudently value the loan portfolio and potential exposure."

They claim not to have anticipated these developments, but all three were predicted by many commentators.

Even in good times the Ponzi business model employed by most of the mortgage banking industry required ever increasing loan volumes to keep default rates down. New loans typically don’t go bad as fast as bad loans, so the rapid growth rate of the sector helped hide the truth about the quality of their holdings. Now that the sector is having trouble growing, reported default rates are on the rise and profits are evaporating.

The market for mortgage backed securities grew far too rapidly, and the supply of easy credit had to end. Now there are far fewer suckers out there who want to buy securitized sub-prime loans because the housing market has turned and foreign investors and portfolio managers are recognizing more of the risks.
-Imaginary profits were boosted by low reserve allowances. Their loss estimates were based on default patterns during the housing boom, not during normal times or a housing bust. As they have to increase reserves to cover real losses, their imaginary profits of the past turn to today’s losses.

Most lenders are trying their hardest to postpone the bad news to keep their stocks afloat and their credit ratings intact. The situation is surely much worse than they are willing to admit. The mere fact that that more of them have started to give warnings is an indication that things are getting really bad in the industry.

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The Massachusetts state Division of Banks is cracking down this month on what it sees as abusive business practices by mortgage lenders and brokers.

The agency issued a series of new emergency regulations earlier this month, requiring better documentation from lenders and prohibiting them from pressuring consumers into taking out mortgages they can’t afford or working without their own independent lawyers.

It also forced four companies — two of them located Worcester — to close immediately and place all pending mortgages with another, more established lender.

Commissioner of Banks Steven L. Antonakes said in a recent interview that division examiners found a pattern of deceptive business practices by some lenders during their most recent round of company inspections.

"We want to spell out in very plain English to send a message to lenders and brokers that these specific acts, whether they’re very obviously unfair or deceptive, or more subtle, they weren’t going to be tolerated," he said. "And you would put your license at risk by engaging in this kind of activity."

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By RodgerRafter

-Millions of investors buy into the technology bubble on the bad advice of analysts, then lose most of their savings.
-Employees spend their adult lives working for a corporation, only to watch their pension plans crumble in size and significance.
-Mutual funds let outside investors steal from their customers for a share of the loot.
-Hedge funds collect massive fees for months or years, then shut down overnight leaving investors with their capital in tatters.
-Borrowers are encouraged to take on more debt, then get squeezed into bankruptcy by rising rates.
-Loyal employees face layoffs when private equity firms take over a company and extract every penny and ounce of worth that they can find.

These and related stories occur everyday and are part of a severely corrupted financial system that is destroying the wealth of most Americans and the strength of the US economy. The mainstream media and industry experts are always quick to express outrage when incidents like these occur, acting as though the perpetrators are isolated cases and the crimes are not likely to be repeated. But observe the industry long enough and you’ll find that corrupt acts occur regularly and throughout the financial system.

This entry describes many of the corrupting features of the American financial system and attempts to give a framework for understanding why corruption is so widespread and damaging. Understanding the systemic flaws is a first step toward protecting oneself and bringing about systemic change.

The Primary Function of the Markets
In the fairy tale world of capitalistic, free-market economies, the financial markets provide for the efficient allocation of capital. In the real world of corruptialistic, rigged-market economies, the financial markets provide for the efficient transfer of wealth from the working and investing masses to people in positions of power. There is enough productive capacity in the American financial system to sustain the popular myths in media, government and corporate circles, but corruption in the system is extreme and greatly undermines the economic security of the nation.

A Culture of Greed
A misplaced faith in the efficiency of the capital markets allows many to believe that their own corrupt actions are acceptable or even beneficial in a capitalistic economy. The myth states that a multitude of individual players, all acting in their own best interests drives a system toward accurate pricing and efficient use of capital. The reality is that good people are often corrupted by positions of power and learn to rationalize fraud, theft and waste in ways that pad their own pockets at the expense of others.

A culture of greed within financial institutions and in the executive offices of major corporations, creates an environment where bottom line results are what matters most, and how those results are achieved is secondary. While most high powered executives, brokers and traders don’t see themselves as being corrupt or doing direct damage to the economy, the actions they take to further their careers and the interests of their employers are often very destructive.

Conflicts of Interest
When investment banks made most of their profits by underwriting stock and bond offerings, their analysts often faced pressure to pitch these securities to unsuspecting investors and money managers faced pressure to fill up client accounts with the same securities. This conflict of interest was widely abused during the technology bubble and exposed after it burst. Now investment banks make most of their profits by financing, investing in, and trading with hedge funds. Pressures within these banks now push analysts and money managers to support the new profit engines with conflicted advice and unscrupulous actions.

Short-Term Gain vs. Long-term Risk
A dominant feature of the American corrupitalistic system in recent years has been the shameless pursuit of short term objectives at the expense of long term success. Risk vs. reward is a standard equation in most business decisions, and taking on greater amounts of risk will typically offer higher rewards over the short term. Our financial system is structured so that managers are most often compensated based on short term performance measures and this encourages them to take on high levels of risk with investor capital.

On a national level the pursuit of short term rewards has led the country to bury itself hopelessly under a mountain of debt and impossible promises. On a corporate level it has resulted in the decreasing competitiveness of American industry. Politicians seek reelection and executives seek to boost their annual bonuses, but neither group has the long term interests of their constituents at heart.

Creative Accounting
Accounting rules allow a large amount of assumption and estimation when it comes to determining a company’s bottom line. Creative accounting is a term to describe the way executives bend and twist the numbers to arrive at the results that meet their personal objectives. It takes place in industry as well as government with the result that nobody can really trust the quarterly and annual results presented in press releases. Worldcom went bankrupt after it was exposed for overstating profits by roughly $2 billion. The federal deficit numbers touted by the President are hundreds of billions of dollars less than the true deficit each year. Auditors are generally hired by the executives being audited, so the conflict of interests prevents truly independent accounting.

Corporate Governance
Shareholders of publicly traded companies generally do not have a valid say in how the companies are run. Executives choose their own slate of directors to watch over them and shareholders don’t have any real choice in the voting. Shareholder proposals are regularly blocked from inclusion on voting proxies with the approval of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Indeed, the SEC’s stated objective is to protect "shareholder confidence" rather then to actually protect shareholders. That way the people in positions of power are free to go on taking advantage of clueless investors.

Other People’s Money
With Capitalism, money (capital) is the major source of power. People who own the companies decide how they are run. With Corrupitalism most of the owners of capital have entrusted it to money managers who use it to promote their own interests. Fund managers are compensated based on short term performance. There is little incentive to seek out management teams that run companies are pursuing sound, long-term goals. Meanwhile there is a strong incentive to invest in hot performers rather than sound values. Many companies run up debt by issuing corporate bonds and then using the money to repurchase stock. While this boosts the short term performance of a company’s shares, it sets the stage for a complete collapse down the road. Pension fund, mutual fund and hedge fund managers together control most of the nation’s wealth and their short-sighted vision becomes the nation’s short-sighted vision.

Hedge Funds
Hedge funds can take the abuses of the mutual fund world to a much higher level. The standard hedge fund compensation scheme greatly rewards short-term performance with no penalty for long term failure, which encourages managers to take high levels of risk. Hedge funds are able to greatly magnify that risk by borrowing vast sums to increase the leverage of their investments. The tremendous quantity of money borrowed into existence by hedge funds has helped fuel inflationary pressures and has subjected the entire economy to great risks. Read more…..

Rodger Rafter

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