September 10, 2007

Interview With Housing Wire

In your opinion, what will this relapse do to mortgage markets?

It’s likely to get bloodier this year and into the next — many more lenders will go out of business. I’d expect to see wholesale and correspondent lending practically disappear, especially in non-conforming marketplace. Retail origination will take center stage as lenders retreat to a channel they feel they can better control. And that will accelerate job losses in the mortgage sector.

Many companies that survived this first wave will catch their breath just in time to be hit again — and many won’t be ready for it. Others, like Countrywide, know what’s coming — the question is whether they’ve done enough to be able to ride it out.

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