September 14, 2006

HSBC Launches A$600 Million 5-Year Bond

SYDNEY -(Dow Jones)- HSBC Finance Corp. Thursday launched its inaugural minimum A$600 million 5-year fixed- and floating-rate issue via lead managers HSBC Bank Australia and National Australia Bank.

The issue will include a minimum A$200 million fixed-rate tranche being marketed at 28 basis points over the 5-year swap rate, while the floating-rate tranche is being marketed at 28 basis points over three-month swap.

Pricing is expected by Friday, with settlement on Sept. 22.

HSBC Finance Corp. is rated Aa3 by Moody’s Investors Service and AA- by Standard & Poor’s and Fitch Ratings.

Co-managers are ABN AMRO Bank and Deutsche Bank.

-By Linda McSweeny; Dow Jones Newswires; 612-8235-2958; linda.mcsweeny@ dowjones.com


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September 13, 2006

Wednesday’s bond market

Wednesday’s bond market has opened fairly strong, continuing yesterday’s afternoon rally. The stock markets are showing small gains with the Dow up 12 points while the Nasdaq has gained 6 points. The bond market is currently up 14/32, which should improve this morning’s mortgage rates by approximately .125 - .250 of a discount point.

There is no relev ant economic news scheduled for release today, leaving the markets to trade off yesterday’s news. The 10-year Note auction was met with a strong demand, leading to afternoon buying in bonds yesterday and this morning. This means that investors have a good appetite for U.S. bonds, which should help prevent mortgage rates from moving much higher in the immediate future.

The next piece of data comes tomorrow morning with the release of August’s Retail Sales report. It will give us a measurement of consumer spending, which is very important to the markets because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Current forecasts call for a 0.2% decline in sales last month after July’s 1.4% jump. If we see a higher level of spending than is forecasted, the bond markets will most likely fall and mortgage rates will rise. However, a weaker than expected reading could push bond prices higher and mortgage rates lower tomorrow.

We will also see weekly unempl oyment claims tomorrow morning, but I am not expecting them to affect mortgage rates. It is expected to show 315,000 new claims were filed last week, but with the sales report coming out at the same time this data should have no impact on bond trading or rates.



If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would…. Float if my closing was taking place within 7 days… Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days… Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days… Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now… This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
 
a la mode




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September 11, 2006

How Our Corrupted Financial Markets Really Work

By RodgerRafter

-Millions of investors buy into the technology bubble on the bad advice of analysts, then lose most of their savings.
-Employees spend their adult lives working for a corporation, only to watch their pension plans crumble in size and significance.
-Mutual funds let outside investors steal from their customers for a share of the loot.
-Hedge funds collect massive fees for months or years, then shut down overnight leaving investors with their capital in tatters.
-Borrowers are encouraged to take on more debt, then get squeezed into bankruptcy by rising rates.
-Loyal employees face layoffs when private equity firms take over a company and extract every penny and ounce of worth that they can find.

These and related stories occur everyday and are part of a severely corrupted financial system that is destroying the wealth of most Americans and the strength of the US economy. The mainstream media and industry experts are always quick to express outrage when incidents like these occur, acting as though the perpetrators are isolated cases and the crimes are not likely to be repeated. But observe the industry long enough and you’ll find that corrupt acts occur regularly and throughout the financial system.

This entry describes many of the corrupting features of the American financial system and attempts to give a framework for understanding why corruption is so widespread and damaging. Understanding the systemic flaws is a first step toward protecting oneself and bringing about systemic change.

The Primary Function of the Markets
In the fairy tale world of capitalistic, free-market economies, the financial markets provide for the efficient allocation of capital. In the real world of corruptialistic, rigged-market economies, the financial markets provide for the efficient transfer of wealth from the working and investing masses to people in positions of power. There is enough productive capacity in the American financial system to sustain the popular myths in media, government and corporate circles, but corruption in the system is extreme and greatly undermines the economic security of the nation.

A Culture of Greed
A misplaced faith in the efficiency of the capital markets allows many to believe that their own corrupt actions are acceptable or even beneficial in a capitalistic economy. The myth states that a multitude of individual players, all acting in their own best interests drives a system toward accurate pricing and efficient use of capital. The reality is that good people are often corrupted by positions of power and learn to rationalize fraud, theft and waste in ways that pad their own pockets at the expense of others.

A culture of greed within financial institutions and in the executive offices of major corporations, creates an environment where bottom line results are what matters most, and how those results are achieved is secondary. While most high powered executives, brokers and traders don’t see themselves as being corrupt or doing direct damage to the economy, the actions they take to further their careers and the interests of their employers are often very destructive.

Conflicts of Interest
When investment banks made most of their profits by underwriting stock and bond offerings, their analysts often faced pressure to pitch these securities to unsuspecting investors and money managers faced pressure to fill up client accounts with the same securities. This conflict of interest was widely abused during the technology bubble and exposed after it burst. Now investment banks make most of their profits by financing, investing in, and trading with hedge funds. Pressures within these banks now push analysts and money managers to support the new profit engines with conflicted advice and unscrupulous actions.

Short-Term Gain vs. Long-term Risk
A dominant feature of the American corrupitalistic system in recent years has been the shameless pursuit of short term objectives at the expense of long term success. Risk vs. reward is a standard equation in most business decisions, and taking on greater amounts of risk will typically offer higher rewards over the short term. Our financial system is structured so that managers are most often compensated based on short term performance measures and this encourages them to take on high levels of risk with investor capital.

On a national level the pursuit of short term rewards has led the country to bury itself hopelessly under a mountain of debt and impossible promises. On a corporate level it has resulted in the decreasing competitiveness of American industry. Politicians seek reelection and executives seek to boost their annual bonuses, but neither group has the long term interests of their constituents at heart.

Creative Accounting
Accounting rules allow a large amount of assumption and estimation when it comes to determining a company’s bottom line. Creative accounting is a term to describe the way executives bend and twist the numbers to arrive at the results that meet their personal objectives. It takes place in industry as well as government with the result that nobody can really trust the quarterly and annual results presented in press releases. Worldcom went bankrupt after it was exposed for overstating profits by roughly $2 billion. The federal deficit numbers touted by the President are hundreds of billions of dollars less than the true deficit each year. Auditors are generally hired by the executives being audited, so the conflict of interests prevents truly independent accounting.

Corporate Governance
Shareholders of publicly traded companies generally do not have a valid say in how the companies are run. Executives choose their own slate of directors to watch over them and shareholders don’t have any real choice in the voting. Shareholder proposals are regularly blocked from inclusion on voting proxies with the approval of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Indeed, the SEC’s stated objective is to protect "shareholder confidence" rather then to actually protect shareholders. That way the people in positions of power are free to go on taking advantage of clueless investors.

Other People’s Money
With Capitalism, money (capital) is the major source of power. People who own the companies decide how they are run. With Corrupitalism most of the owners of capital have entrusted it to money managers who use it to promote their own interests. Fund managers are compensated based on short term performance. There is little incentive to seek out management teams that run companies are pursuing sound, long-term goals. Meanwhile there is a strong incentive to invest in hot performers rather than sound values. Many companies run up debt by issuing corporate bonds and then using the money to repurchase stock. While this boosts the short term performance of a company’s shares, it sets the stage for a complete collapse down the road. Pension fund, mutual fund and hedge fund managers together control most of the nation’s wealth and their short-sighted vision becomes the nation’s short-sighted vision.

Hedge Funds
Hedge funds can take the abuses of the mutual fund world to a much higher level. The standard hedge fund compensation scheme greatly rewards short-term performance with no penalty for long term failure, which encourages managers to take high levels of risk. Hedge funds are able to greatly magnify that risk by borrowing vast sums to increase the leverage of their investments. The tremendous quantity of money borrowed into existence by hedge funds has helped fuel inflationary pressures and has subjected the entire economy to great risks. Read more…..

Rodger Rafter



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This Week’s Mortgage News & Commentary

This week brings us the release of five pieces of economic data, with four of them likely to affect mortgage rates. The most important reports are spread over only two days, so look for the biggest changes to rates the latter part of the week.

The first report of the week is not considered to be of high importance. July’s Goods and Services Trade Balan ce data will be posted Tuesday morning, giving us the size of the U.S. trade deficit. It is expected to show a deficit of approximately $65.5 billion, which would be a small increase from June’s $64.8 billion. However, I would consider this the least important of this week’s releases, meaning it will likely have little impact on bond trading or mortgage rates.

Worth noting though is the 10-year Treasury note auction Tuesday. It is fairly common to see some weakness in bonds before these sales as investors prepare for them. But, if the sales are met with a decent demand from investors, those losses are normally recovered after the results are announced. The results will be posted at 1:00 pm ET Tuesday. If demand was strong, particularly from international investors, we should see mortgage rates improve Tuesday afternoon.

The next piece of data comes Thursday morning with the release of August’s Retail Sales report. It will give us a measurement of consumer spending, which is very important to the markets because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Current forecasts call for a 0.1% decline in sales last month after July’s 1.4% jump. If we see a higher level of spending than is forecasted, the bond markets will most likely fall and mortgage rates will rise. However, a weaker than expected reading could push bond prices higher and mortgage rates lower Thursday.

The remaining three reports are all scheduled to be released Friday morning. The first is August’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 8:30 am ET. The CPI is one of the most important reports we see each and every month. It is considered to be a key indicator of inflation at the consumer level of the economy. There are two readings in the report- the overall index and the core data reading. The core data is the more important of the two because it excludes more volatile food and energy prices. Current forecasts are calling for inc reases of 0.2% in the overall index and in the core data reading. A larger increase in the core data would likely lead to higher mortgage rates Friday.

The second report of the day is August’s Industrial Production report. This report gives us a measurement of manufacturing sector strength by tracking output at U.S. factories, mines and utilities. It is not as important as the CPI report, but is also likely to cause movement in mortgage rates. Analysts are currently expecting to see a 0.2% increase in production. A higher level of output could lead to higher mortgage rates, while a weaker than expected figure should help push rates lower.

The last report of the week comes from the University of Michigan. Their consumer sentiment index will give us an indication of consumer confidence, which hints at consumers’ willingness to spend. If confidence is rising, consumers are more apt to make large purchases. But, if they are growing more concerned o f their personal financial situations, they probably will delay making that large purchase. This influences future consumer spending data and can impact the financial markets. If the index falls below the estimate of 83.5, we should see mortgage rates improve Friday morning, assuming that the CPI doesn’t reveal a negative surprise.

Overall, this will likely be a pretty active week for the bond market and mortgage rates. Friday’s CPI is the week’s single most important report, but Thursday’s Retail Sales data may also cause significant movement in mortgage rates. If we see weaker than expected readings in those three reports, we should see mortgage rates move significantly lower for the week. However, stronger than expected readings would likely drive bond prices lower and mortgage rates higher. I am holding the float recommendations for now, but could change is there is a lackluster interest in the 10-year auction or if the two key reports show stronger than expected results.

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would…. Float if my closing was taking place within 7 days… Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days… Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days… Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now… This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.

a la mode

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