May 12, 2006
Friday’s bond market
Friday’s bond market has opened in negative territory despite favorable economic news. The stock markets are continuing yesterday’s selling with the Dow down 37 points and the Nasdaq down 20 points. The bond market is currently down 5/32, which will likely push this morning’s mortgage rates higher by approximately .125 of a discount.
Today’s first piece of economic data was March’s Goods and Services Trade Balance report. It showed that the U.S. trade deficit dropped to $62 billion in March. This was a sizable drop, especially since analysts were expecting to see an increase from February’s $65.7 billion. However, this data is not considered to be of much direct importance to bonds or mortgage rates.
The second report was May’s preliminary reading to the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment. It showed a reading of 79.0 this month, which was much weaker than the 86.0 that was expected. This indicates that consumers were much less optimistic about their own financial situations than thought. This is considered to be good news for the bond market and mortgage rates. Unfortunately, the news is being ignored during early trading.
There is no relevant economic news scheduled for release Monday, but there are a few important reports due out next week. The important data begins Tuesday with the r elease of April’s Producer Price Index (PPI) and Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI). These indexes give us very important measurements of inflationary pressures at different stages of the economy and can heavily influence bond trading and mortgage rates.
Look for more details on the week’s events in Sunday evening’s weekly preview.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would…. Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days… Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days… Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days… Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now… This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
a la mode







