April 27, 2006

The Collapse of the American Economy

 

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David M. Walker, comptroller of the United States, states that limits are needed on both further tax cuts and government spending.

Comparing America to the last days of the Roman empire, Walker says that fiscal irresponsibility is pushing the U.S. closer to the same fate that befell the Romans in their heyday.

“Unfortunately, there is no question that both U.S. government spending and tax cuts are spiraling out of control,” writes Walker. “Recent increases in federal budget deficits have far outpaced the cost of the global war on terrorism and incremental homeland security costs.”

While Walker admits that the $319 billion fiscal deficit in 2005 is lower than it was last year, he maintains it’s still high - especially if federal spending climbs at the same rates we’re seeing today.

“The federal government’s long-term liabilities and net commitments, such as those relating to Social Security and Medicare, have risen from just over $20 trillion in fiscal 2000 to more than $43 trillion in fiscal 2004, in large part because of the passage of the Medicare prescription drug bill in December 2003,” says Walker.

“This translates into a burden of more than $150,000 per American and $350,000 per full-time worker, up from $72,000 and $165,000 in 2000, respectively.”

Consequently, Walker says, it’s time for the U.S. to get a grip on its finances - complete with government caps on spending and tax cuts, a serious re-evaluation of America’s rampant consumer culture and a thorough review of every federal government program.

“Believe it or not, much of the government is on autopilot and based on economic, security, workforce and other conditions that existed in the 1950s and 1960s,” Walker writes. “It is time to rationalize and modernize the mission, programs, policies and operations of the federal government to reflect the challenges and opportunities of the 21st century.”

If that sounds like President Clinton’s “smart spending” initiatives, it’s no accident. Both Walker and the previous administration say that it’s a disciplined approach - and not a wide-reaching scalpel - that will be key to limiting government spending.

“Indeed, without a more disciplined approach to our fiscal challenges, policymakers as a default will tend to resort to across-the-board spending cuts and other sweeping measures,” he says.

“Such actions, even if used year after year and on a large scale, won’t come near to closing our fiscal gap and will actually result in perverse incentives in some cases. For example, effective agencies and programs with reasonable budgets would be treated the same as ineffective ones with bloated budgets.”

Walker closes by citing the nation’s first president, George Washington, calling him a strong believer in fiscal discipline.

“In his 1796 farewell address, Washington admonished the nation to avoid ‘not ungenerously throwing upon posterity the burden which we ourselves ought to bear.’ Americans today would be wise to heed Washington’s timeless wisdom.

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Dump Boston, Buy Texas - The Housing Game

 

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As home sales cool on the East and West coasts, some cities that missed out on the real-estate boom are becoming the strongest markets.

A look at inventories of unsold homes, prices and employment trends points to generally positive signs in Houston, Dallas and Atlanta — cities that have seen only modest home-price gains in recent years.

Metropolitan areas whose housing markets look less healthy, at least in the short term, include Boston, Los Angeles, Miami, Minneapolis, New York, Philadelphia and San Francisco. All of them have growing inventories of homes and relatively weak job growth. As a result, houses that a year or two ago might have sold in hours now are languishing on the market for months, and some sellers are cutting prices.

To produce a snapshot of residential real-estate prospects for 18 major metro areas, The Wall Street Journal examined inventories of homes for sale at the end of the first quarter from a variety of local sources; pricing trends based on surveys of real-estate agents by Daniel Oppenheim, an analyst at Banc of America Securities in New York; and projections of job creation by Moody’s Economy.com, a research firm in West Chester, Pa. Inventory data provide a broad picture of the overall supply of housing, while job trends are the biggest driver of demand. The pricing data show how markets are adjusting to recent shifts in supply and demand.

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Why we need electronic notrarization

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A recently published White Paper, prepared by a Massachusetts Institute of Technology professor, is calling for quick action by government, industry and professional associations to provide a “sound strategy” for e-notarization to help stem the rising tide in forgeries and frauds in identity, mortgage and even immigration transactions. The paper reveals the importance of providing secure authentication and effective electronic transactions for e-commerce in the burgeoning digital age.

In the White Paper, “Electronic Notarization: Why It’s Needed, How It Works, And How It Can Be Implemented To Enable Greater Transactional Security,” published by the National Notary Association, Daniel J. Greenwood, Director of MIT’s E-Commerce Architecture Program, outlines the legal and technological issues that must be addressed to ensure convenient and secure e-commerce in an era of rising document forgery and identity fraud.

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Serious Mortgage Banking - Definition

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Serious is just a state of mind. In mortgage banking, it means a no nonsense and cut-throat attitude combined with the ability to pass yourself off as the principal by borrowing money and then lending it out as if it was yours. You need to be able to keep a serious face while telling everyone you are a direct lender and that you underwrite every loan, when in reality you are just a middleman and simply follow the “actual” investors’ underwriting guidelines - in other words you are a glorified broker but don’t like to admit it.

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